Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.165364 14.792170 16.556766 18.615456 20.954418 23.532745 26.595169
2025-03-30 10.685814 12.827026 15.320433 18.447854 22.278897 26.835666 32.691322
2025-04-06 8.685524 11.046183 13.971964 17.885528 23.014814 29.551598 38.581758
2025-04-13 7.235743 9.695715 12.922144 17.500162 23.887838 32.570911 45.415491
2025-04-20 6.357350 8.943803 12.520836 17.887534 25.836353 37.334207 55.514129
2025-04-27 5.671978 8.347168 12.233669 18.377577 28.005704 42.782513 67.695700
2025-05-04 5.035229 7.721621 11.804890 18.579874 29.770797 47.930501 80.472928
2025-05-11 4.383847 6.976475 11.081454 18.199032 30.536994 51.615772 91.600432
2025-05-18 3.858180 6.354584 10.460300 17.879027 31.337974 55.485038 103.858402
2025-05-25 3.426285 5.826712 9.917239 17.600897 32.154074 59.510584 117.263551
2025-06-01 3.081374 5.400517 9.487364 17.452576 33.173740 64.083019 132.744744
2025-06-08 2.798401 5.046244 9.135394 17.390274 34.339739 69.139434 150.367732
2025-06-15 2.619865 4.867480 9.095233 17.953302 36.922182 77.717728 178.171891
2025-06-22 2.398193 4.578622 8.807367 17.975908 38.388474 84.227737 202.914337
2025-06-29 2.158257 4.223903 8.343407 17.559865 38.828644 88.544732 223.457334
2025-07-06 1.961762 3.931826 7.967757 17.275773 39.518899 93.593259 247.284616
2025-07-13 1.852825 3.806870 7.924157 17.728014 42.036488 103.649016 287.666774
2025-07-20 1.760617 3.705709 7.917904 18.266220 44.873006 115.153146 335.700104
2025-07-27 1.654248 3.560521 7.795035 18.506299 47.000463 125.256880 382.661863
2025-08-03 1.517907 3.332195 7.454196 18.155008 47.500865 130.967088 417.441044
2025-08-10 1.399296 3.130873 7.151590 17.855825 48.095123 137.103655 455.695407
2025-08-17 1.294860 2.950926 6.878159 17.592415 48.748310 143.588645 497.399155
2025-08-24 1.207600 2.802251 6.663162 17.454524 49.749543 151.411281 546.775819